Earlier today, the Golden Nugget announced their odds on 150 games that they call their "2015-16 Games of the Year." David Purdum from ESPN.com reported on the release. As we've seen so far this offseason, Miami isn't getting a lot of respect from writers or from Vegas. The Over/Under on regular season wins is at either 5.5 or 6 and the games released today have Miami as an underdog in at least four games. No odds were given for Miami's games against Bethune Cookman, FAU, Duke, North Carolina, or Pittsburgh.
Miami pickem vs Nebraska
Miami +2.5 at Cincinnati
Miami +14.5 at Florida State
Miami -6 vs Virginia Tech
Miami +4.5 vs Clemson
Miami -6.5 vs Virginia
Miami +6 vs Georgia Tech
I'm a little surprised that Miami is an early underdog at Cincinnati, but that will be a tricky road trip for the Canes. If Miami beats Nebraska and is 3-0 heading into that game, UM should be a small favorite.
Miami being favored by six against both Virginia and Virginia Tech makes no sense. Virginia Tech is also listed as a 4 point favorite at Virginia, so clearly there is a discrepancy there. Miami has struggled to beat Virginia in recent years, but I think it should be Miami -4 vs VT and -10 vs Virginia.
It's a bit surprising to see Georgia Tech favored by six on the road at Miami. It's clear that the Yellow Jackets are gaining a lot of support heading into this season. Georgia Tech is also a pickem hosting Florida State.
These odds indicate why this will be such an interesting season for Miami, with so many games that could go either way. The road games at Duke, UNC, and Pitt aren't listed yet, but I would expect those odds to all be under a touchdown. Nine out of twelve games are predicted to be decided by a touchdown or less - anything can happen.
What do you think? Which games make sense and which do you disagree with? Once again, here's to hoping that Miami exceeds expectations in 2015 and finds a way to win close games.