clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Week Eight Lines and Picks

Barf. Only way to go is up this week....

NCAA Football: Miami at Virginia Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports

(FULL DISCLAIMER. This article is simply for fun. Chide me, praise me, do whatever. Just know that I’m here to give my two cents and offer a perspective on a game or games that maybe you’re on the fence about. Giving you something to consider that may help you go one way or another. Not forcing you to fork over your money to a sports book. But, of course, if you win, break me off 5%. All lines courtesy of VegasInsider.com)

Last week: 2-6 single games; 0-1 parlays; 0-2 teasers

Overall single games: 33-28

Lockity Lock Hits: 5-2

Overall parlays: 2-5

Overall teasers: 3-5

P.U.K.E. After a much needed lift in Week 6, Week 7 was an absolute turd of a day. Thanks to Mark Richt’s game of musical quarterback blew up in all our faces, my day of misery was complete. UCF snuck by a team they should’ve dominated, and USF did too, in an even more pathetic fashion. Stupid directional schools (I’ll give you another chance, UCF). Anyhow, on with this week’s slate……

Lockity Lock of the Week:

NORTHWESTERN (-20.5) at Rutgers

Norwestern is coming off a galvanizing home overtime win that turned their season back towards the possibility of making a decent bowl. Something to play for. And who stands in their way of getting there? Arthur Sitkowski and the swordless Rutgers Scarlet Knights. If your team is playing UConn or Rutgers and the line is south of 4 touchdowns, I’m laying those points all day. Wildcats.

Other lines I like:

UCF (-21.5) at East Carolina

Okay, “national champs”, if you’re going to beat your chest while playing a pee-wee schedule, at least win like you should over teams that have no business competing with a real national champion.

NC STATE (+17.5) at Clemson

The Wolfpack won’t be undefeated after this one, but that defense is good enough to keep Clemson from totally running away with it.

Maryland at IOWA (-9.5)

Iowa is playing very well right now and can stop Maryland’s ground game. Stop the ground game, stop the Terps. Iowa by double digits.

Ohio State at PURDUE (+12.5)

Minnesota’s offense showed you can move the ball on Ohio State’s defense, which will be weaker given Nick Bosa’s understandable decision to forego the rest of the season to focus on getting healthy and ready for the draft. Jeff Brohm’s team can light up the scoreboard. Don’t know if Purdue wins, but I think they cover.

Nevada at HAWAII (-3)

Long trip to the islands for Nevada the week after a disheartening loss to Boise State sets up for a Hawaii win.

OKLAHOMA (-8) at Tcu

The Sooners’ embattled defensive coordinator Mike Stoops is gone, and we don’t know how the defense will respond. However, I have a feeling they’ll bounce back this week against a TCU team playing good defense, but one that has been sluggish offensively.

CAL (-7.5) at Oregon State

Yes, Cal was slapped by a previously winless UCLA team at home last week, but have you seen Oregon State??? Yeah, you probably did when they were giving up north of 70 points to Ohio State on national TV, but if you haven’t followed them since then, they haven’t been able to stay within single digits of any Pac-12 team, and that includes lowly Arizona. I have little doubt the Bears are 8+ points better than the Beavers.

Teasers of the Week (6-point shift)

NORTHWESTERN (-14.5) at Rutgers; CAL (-1.5) at Oregon State

ALABAMA (-23) at Tennessee; NC STATE (+23.5) at Clemson

Once again asking a lot from road teams, but these lines seem very attainable in each matchup

Parlay of the week

CAL (-7.5) at Oregon State; NORTHWESTERN (-20.5) at Memphis; NC STATE (+17.5) at Clemson

Once again looking for some road warrior this week.

So, let’s hear it, Canes fam. Tell me why I’m wrong, and what YOU think is going to happen.