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10 Over/Under Picks for Miami vs Florida State

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The Canes will be taking on this hated rival Saturday afternoon. After an up-and-down season, there’s a lot on the line for both teams.

Miami v Pittsburgh Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images

Nobody needs to be reminded about what’s about to go down this Saturday. When the Maimi Hurricanes storm the field and take on the Florida State Seminoles, it will mark the 64th meeting between the two hated rivals. Both teams stand at 4-4 and are coming off victories against ACC opponents. The Canes and Jarren Williams pulled off a nail-biting victory against the Pittsburg Panthers last week. The Seminoles handily beat the Syracuse Orange at home. Honestly, those resumes won’t have any bearing on this Sunshine State brawl. When it comes to rivalry games, all of the stats and previous victories don’t account for much. These two teams are very familiar with each other. As always, this will be a brutal war that goes down to the wire. Let’s see if we can predict some of the mismatches and factors which may lead the Canes to victory this weekend.

Jarren Williams: 200 Yards Passing & 1 TD

Jarren Williams has not started a game since his outing against the Virginia Tech Hokies. After injuring his shoulder in that game, N’Kosi Perry started the next two contests. Last week, when the offense was sputtering, Williams took over to lead the Canes down the field on a game-winning drive. Williams has thrown for 1,136 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this season. In each game he’s started and finished this year, Perry has gone for over 200 yards in through the air. FSU allows an average of 275 passing yards a game.

Poll

Jarren Williams: 200 Yards Passing

This poll is closed

  • 70%
    Over
    (103 votes)
  • 20%
    Under
    (30 votes)
  • 8%
    Even
    (13 votes)
146 votes total Vote Now

Poll

Jarren Williams: 1 TD

This poll is closed

  • 58%
    Over
    (82 votes)
  • 9%
    Under
    (13 votes)
  • 32%
    Even
    (45 votes)
140 votes total Vote Now

DeeJay Dallas: 150 Yards from Scrimmage

Another returning player this weekend will be DeeJay Dallas. The junior running back has practiced all week and seems primed to bounce back from a knee injury that he sustained against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Dallas has shown up with explosive plays in every big game this year. From his 50-yard run against the Florida Gators to 62-yard stunner against Virginia Tech, he doesn’t shy away from the bright lights. His electrifying talent will show up on the ground and through the air on Saturday afternoon.

Poll

DeeJay Dallas: 150 Yards from Scrimmage

This poll is closed

  • 12%
    Over
    (18 votes)
  • 78%
    Under
    (114 votes)
  • 8%
    Even
    (13 votes)
145 votes total Vote Now

Cam’Ron Harris: 50 Yards from Scrimmage

We just can’t ignore the work Cam’Ron Harris has done in these last few games. Last week against Pitt, Harris ran the ball 16 times for 60 yards. In the loss to Georgia Tech, he thundered for 136 yards. He also caught 3 passes for 31 yards. It’s going to be an all hands on deck situation for this battle in Tallahassee. FSU is gifting opponents an average of 169 yards on the ground this season.

Poll

Cam’Ron Harris: 50 Yards from Scrimmage

This poll is closed

  • 58%
    Over
    (83 votes)
  • 24%
    Under
    (34 votes)
  • 17%
    Even
    (24 votes)
141 votes total Vote Now

Brevin Jordan: 50 Yards Receiving & 1 TD

I left the same stat line from last week simply because Dan Enos stated he wants to get the TE position more involved. It’s more of wishful over/under. I was very close to just asking the over/under on “Brevin Jordan camera pans”. Jordan was the one who gutted the Seminoles last year with a fourth-quarter 41-yard game-winning TD. After starting off well this year, Jordan found himself left off several mid-season All-American teams. A nationally televised game for this matchup nightmare might just be what the doctor ordered.

Poll

Brevin Jordan: 50 Yards Receiving

This poll is closed

  • 65%
    Over
    (89 votes)
  • 14%
    Under
    (20 votes)
  • 19%
    Even
    (27 votes)
136 votes total Vote Now

Poll

Brevin Jordan: 1 TD

This poll is closed

  • 16%
    Over
    (21 votes)
  • 13%
    Under
    (17 votes)
  • 70%
    Even
    (92 votes)
130 votes total Vote Now

K.J. Osborn: 50 Yards Receiving & 1 TD

K.J. Osborn isn’t just the man of the hour but the man of the week. No matter who’s throwing him the ball, he’s remained consistent throughout the season. He almost broke the century mark last week when he went off for 6 catches for 94 yards. This stat line includes a stellar 32-yard game-winning TD. He’ll see a lot of Stanford Samuels III in this matchup. I’ll trust #2 to continue his bully-ball ways.

Poll

K.J. Osborn: 50 Yards Receiving

This poll is closed

  • 67%
    Over
    (89 votes)
  • 12%
    Under
    (16 votes)
  • 19%
    Even
    (26 votes)
131 votes total Vote Now

Poll

K.J. Osborn: 1 TD

This poll is closed

  • 11%
    Over
    (14 votes)
  • 21%
    Under
    (25 votes)
  • 66%
    Even
    (78 votes)
117 votes total Vote Now

Defensive Sacks: 4

Another week for the Canes is another Gregory Rousseau slaughter. Last week against Pitt, Rousseau has 3 of the Hurricanes’ 4 sacks. He was unstoppable and unblockable. The Seminoles have allowed two or more sacks in every game this season. Yes, even UL Monroe got home a few times. If there’s one thing that’s been steadily stabilizing through the season, to a point of being dependability, it’s our pass rush.

Poll

Defensive Sacks: 4

This poll is closed

  • 30%
    Over
    (38 votes)
  • 27%
    Under
    (35 votes)
  • 42%
    Even
    (53 votes)
126 votes total Vote Now

Rush Defense: 125 Yards Allowed

It doesn’t take a genius to know that if you stop Cam Akers, the FSU offense becomes much easier to defend. Akers is coming off two really impressive performances. He ran for 144 yards off of 20 carries against Syracuse. He ripped Wake Forrest for 157 yards from 30 carries. It’s clear that FSU wants to allow Akers to be the engine that drives their offense. The Canes have allowed an average of 106 yards on the ground this year.

Poll

Rush Defense: 125 Yards Allowed

This poll is closed

  • 58%
    Over
    (73 votes)
  • 20%
    Under
    (25 votes)
  • 20%
    Even
    (26 votes)
124 votes total Vote Now

Fights Broken Up: 6

I struggle to consider a fight here or just a jersey grab/referee separating session. After deep consideration, I’ll allow both to be counted. Nobody wants to see anybody get ejected out there (stares at Amari Carter) but this showdown will bring out the competitor in everyone. Two years ago in Tallahassee, I was there when Sebastian the Ibis broke a replica Seminoles spear after a Braxton Berrios TD. The crowd is always raucous. The players will only look to match that intensity.

Poll

Fights Broken Up: 6

This poll is closed

  • 11%
    Over
    (14 votes)
  • 72%
    Under
    (87 votes)
  • 15%
    Even
    (19 votes)
120 votes total Vote Now

Turnover Chain Appearances: 2

Every week I type that we have forced a turnover in every game. In order to keep that streak alive, “we have forced a turnover in every game”. I won’t go through the standard runoff of turnovers that took place over the last few games. Let’s look at the rivalry. Last year Michael Pinckney had a momentum stealing INT. The Canes also forced two fumbles. One of those mishaps was recovered Gerald Willis III. In 2017, we snatched 2 INTs. In 2016 we got another INT and recovered a fumble. I could go on but the point has been made. It’s a high-intensity and legacy-defining matchup. Players will begin to press and attempt to make big plays. Those are usually the moments where mistakes happen. Fortunately for Miami, we’re often the beneficiaries.

Poll

Turnover Chain Appearances: 2

This poll is closed

  • 31%
    Over
    (38 votes)
  • 18%
    Under
    (23 votes)
  • 50%
    Even
    (61 votes)
122 votes total Vote Now

Total Points: 45 Points Combined

In the last five games, the point tolas for this game have been: 55, 44, 39, 56, and 55. Outside of the 41-14 slaughter in 2014, those games were competitive and the point differentials were extremely low. Florida State is averaging 29 ppg and Miami is racking up 26 ppg. If these two teams go anywhere near those averages, we’ll be in for another shootout.

Poll

Total Points: 45 Points Combined

This poll is closed

  • 44%
    Over
    (56 votes)
  • 33%
    Under
    (42 votes)
  • 22%
    Even
    (29 votes)
127 votes total Vote Now

Florida State is on a three-game home winning streak. How are you feeling about this showdown and the Canes’ ability to get a win in Tally?