YIKES. With a 3-7 week, Week 9 was a low point on the season. When Michigan puts it on a ranked team, and a solid Texas Tech team gets gotten by Kansas, well…..that’s the weekly certainty that isn’t football wagering. Kansas joins the don’t-bet-on-them-or-against-them-no-matter-what list, along with TCU, Northwestern, and basically all of the AFC South.
Here’s to a better Week 10. On with it….
Lock of the week
Florida +6 vs. Georgia. This is going to be a battle. Florida’s stingy defense gives them a decent chance to win this game outright. Six points? All day, every day.
Other lines I like
Miami at FSU; under 49. I don’t trust Miami’s offense against literally any defense in division I-A college football, nor FSU’s offense against UM’s vastly improved defense. I think FSU wins, because of Miami’s offensive ineptitude and challenges in the kicking game, but I think it’s less likely this is a high scoring affair. 49 is too much.
Cincinnati -24.5 at East Carolina. Bearcats might have this one covered by halftime, given South Florida’s rout of the Pirates in Greenville last week.
Virginia +2 at UNC. I don’t get this line. Did Virginia suddenly forget how to play football? No, and the team who should be favored will win going away on the road. UNC was fortunate to win last week on the Duke failed Tebow jump pass on the goal line in the final minute.
Oregon -4.5 at USC. Trojans have been good in LA, but Oregon is just better.
Teasers I like
SMU at Memphis, under 65; UAB +20.5 at Tennessee
Pitt PICK at Georgia Tech; Rutgers at Illinois -13.5
Georgia vs. Florida, over 39; Vandy at South Carolina, under 58.5
Northwestern at Indiana -3; Ole Miss at Auburn, over 46.5
Parlay of the week (moneyline picks, -115 payout)
Ole Miss at AUBURN
Rutgers at ILLINOIS
Virginia Tech at NOTRE DAME
MICHIGAN at Maryland
Houston at UCF
PITTSBURGH at Georgia Tech
CINCINNATI at East Carolina