And here we are. Rivalry week. Week 14. Another college football season gone in the blink of an eye. For some teams (like Nebraska, oof), their seasons will be over and they’ll be on to 2020 by Saturday afternoon. Anywho… a 5-5 week 13, featuring the stinkers of the season from Indiana and the Canes, along with putrid road performances by Texas and San Jose State, kept the season mark north of .500 at 65-63-2 through 13 weeks. Time to quit you, Hoosiers…I don’t care what your ATS record is this year.
Speaking of the Canes, will they show up this week and cover –9 in Durham? Does anyone that plays football for the University of Miami even care anymore? That’s my biggest concern, so I’d tend to say no, but Duke also got shellacked 49-6 at home by Syracuse a few weeks ago, so……yeah, I’m staying away.
On with Week 14…
Lock of the week
Oklahoma at OKLAHOMA STATE +13. I really don’t understand this line, at all. This game always comes down to the last possession (or so it seems), and Oklahoma has been doing little but sweating out wins lately. And the game is in Stillwater? Vegas must know something, but I don’t see it here. Give me the points here all day.
Other lines I like
Ohio State at MICHIGAN +9. Michigan has finally woken up and is playing very well the past several weeks. I should know better than to bet on Jim Harbaugh and Michigan in a big game – and in the biggest of games at that – but it feels like this one could go do to the wire. Give me home field and 9 points in that case.
Rutgers at Penn State; UNDER 50.5. It’s hard enough to believe a Penn State team with an ailing QB is beating anyone by 40+, and a Rutgers team with a new coach can only be a good thing from what we were seeing. That being said, it’s less likely Rutgers finds the end zone Saturday, making the under the better play.
ALABAMA -3.5 at Auburn. I don’t feel the upset here. Mac Jones is inheriting the Mercedes Benz of college offenses and will do enough against a very good Auburn defense to get the Tide to a 7-point win.
Louisville at Kentucky; OVER 52.5. Louisville has been party to many a road shootout this season (see Wake Forest and Miami) and have a soft enough defense to allow Kentucky to get theirs.
WAKE FOREST -4 at Syracuse. I thought maybe the Cuse were turning the corner after laying a smackdown on Duke in Durham. And then they went to Louisville and got taken behind the woodshed. Wake will be good enough to escape with a 7-10 point win, at least
Maryland at Michigan State; UNDER 47.5. I normally hate unders, especially with numbers like this, but Michigan State’s strong defense should hold Maryland – who scored SEVEN POINTS against Nebraska last week (?!?!) – completely in check. Maryland has also scored more than 14 points just twice since September 14. Yo.
Florida at Florida State; UNDER 54.5. That big a number, with FSU having to go against Florida’s defense? Don’t get it, but will take the under here.
Wisconsin at Minnesota; OVER 44.5. Wisconsin has been getting the ball rolling lately, and Minnesota just let Northwestern score 22 points? That’s been hard to do lately. This one lights up the scoreboard more than most think.
Parlay of the week (moneyline bets; pays out around -105)
BAYLOR at Kansas
Maryland at MICHIGAN STATE
Vandy at TENNESSEE
Texas A&M at LSU
Florida State at FLORIDA
NOTRE DAME at Stanford
Arizona at ARIZONA STATE