11/21 College football lines and picks

A 5-2 mark last week extended my streak of winning weeks to three at 4-3, 4-3, and 5-2 after a slow start to the season. Last week a hot fourth quarter between Oregon and Wazzu (32 combined points) pushed the total over and put the cherry on top of a solid set of picks. Miami and Virginia Tech’s relative offensive struggles was the big miss of the week (which was missed by many, to be fair), and Penn State couldn’t find paydirt from goal-to-go in the waning moments to force overtime in Lincoln and give us a chance at a push or a win. So no horrible misses there. Let’s see if we can do even better this week...

CLEMSON -35.5 at Florida State. A week off for the Tigers, Trevor Lawrence returning, and FSU is bleeding players...all with an ESPN report having been released this week detailing (deliciously, I might add) their 7-year downfall? This might to be the halftime deficit. Easiest half-of-70 lay ever.

FLORIDA -31.5 at Vandy. This might be the second-easiest 30+ point spread to give. The Gators lay the wood in Nashville to a horrendously bad Commodore team that won’t be able to keep Florida from scoring (unless the Gators stop themselves).

INDIANA +20.5 at Ohio State. I’ve done nothing but wait for the other shoe to fall with IU, and it still hasn’t. Maybe the Hoosiers are simply....good? They’re good enough to do what Rutgers did - keep it a 3-touchdown game with the Buckeyes. Give me the points here.

Tennessee at AUBURN -10.5. When you’re juggling QBs late in a season like the Vols are, you’re a hot mess. Auburn has disappointed somewhat this season, but they blew the doors off LSU at home and will win comfortably tonight over a reeling Tennessee team.

Okie State at Oklahoma; OVER 60. These teams are like a couple of defenseless brawlers slugging it out in the middle of the ring when they get together. Even though Okie State’s defense has actually been significantly improved, OU’s offense has sprung to life under Spencer Rattler after a suspect start. The Sooners have gone over a game total of 60 in every game except two, where Mizzou State and TCU couldn’t get anything going offensively. I’ll go over here. Also.....

.....I’ll take OKIE STATE +7. Rivalry game, and the Cowboys have been battle tested games in some close games against solid competition.

APP STATE +5 at Coastal Carolina. I’ve been skeptical of the Chanticleers’ place in the polls for much of this season, but they’ve continued to show they belong. This feels like a physical, low scoring game, with CC’s strong front seven being challenged by App State’s formidable ground game. I’ll take CC to win, App State to cover in a close one.