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Welp, another losing week, albeit just barely one, and my mark against the spread moves to 29-19-1. Still 10 games above the Mendoza line, so I can’t complain too much. However, it would be nice to get back to a winning week of any kind.
As such, let’s get to this week’s slate of games (all lines courtesy of DraftKings)...
Oklahoma (-38.5) at Kansas. This is the lock of the week. Caleb Williams will have this offense humming, and this number might be covered by the half. This is of the 63-7 ilk.
Washington at Arizona; OVER 45.5 points. Arizona is an unbelievable mess. Just a true disaster. Winless...lost at home to N. Arizona. And just lost 34-0 to a toothless Colorado team. But the game is in Tucson and Washington isn’t amazing either. Huskies win by double digits, but I have a stronger feeling this game gets north of 45.5 points.
Wake Forest (-3) at Army. I don’t know what I’m missing here. This number should be bigger, although Vegas is pretty hard to argue with. They always know something. The Deacons passing offense and superior overall athleticism lets them lay the 3 and escape with the cover.
Tennessee (+25) at Alabama. Hendon Hooker is trending towards playing, allegedly. Possibly. If so, this number has a legit chance. Tennessee has fought everyone they’ve played and won’t quit against Bama. They’ll lose (of course), but keep it within the number (barely).
NC State (-3.5) at Miami. The Pack are playing well, while Miami’s slow starts and head-scratching locker room comments leave you wondering how mentally prepared they are to play and compete against a quality football team. The best team in North Carolina takes care of the Canes on the road.
Ohio State at Indiana; OVER 58.5. The Buckeye offense is rolling now and will get into the 40s easily. I think Indiana will find a way to keep up for a while before the game gets out of hand, but will score enough to get this total over.
Oregon (+1) at UCLA. Oregon is playing poorly, but its strength (run defense) matches up well against UCLA’s ground game. Oregon is just better top to bottom too, so catching a point here seems like a gift.