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Week 3 College Football Lines and Picks

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NCAA Football: Appalachian State at Miami Richard Graulich-USA TODAY Sports

We’re cooking with gas now!

After a 4-2-1 start in Week 1, I turned in a 5-2 slate last week, producing a healthy 9-4-1 mark against the spread so far this year.

There are some seriously tasty lines on the slate this week, so let’s set the table, fix our plates, and dig in... (again, all lines courtesy of VegasInsider.com)

Stanford (-12) at Vanderbilt. I don’t care that Vandy found a way to win at Colorado State last week. The Dores are a bad, BAAAAAAAD team, and not in a good way. As in a team that lost 23-3 at home to East Tennessee State. I also don’t care that the Cardinal started off the season with a stinker at Kansas State. Top to bottom, Stanford is just a significantly better team with a far higher talent level and ceiling, as evidenced by their dominant, confidence-spiking win at USC last week. This line should honestly be closer to 20. Stanford rolls. Lock of the week, maybe the month.

Michigan State (+6.5) at Miami. To be perfectly clear, I will be in my recliner with my Canes shirt on, ice cold beer in hand, cheering on a Miami win. I just have my serious reservations about it happening. I think a 1 or 2-point win by Miami would be a good result, so asking them to win by a touchdown seems like asking a lot. Michigan State’s run game and Miami’s suspect ability to stop it since December 2020 is what gives me massive pause. Prove me wrong, front seven.

Bonus: Michigan State - Miami; UNDER 57. I think both teams are good enough on the defensive side of the ball to keep this from turning into a total shootout. Miami’s offense isn’t clicking right now, and Miami’s defense overall will be a sizable step up from what Sparty’s faced so far.

Northwestern (-2.5) at Duke. Anyone see that Duke loss to Charlotte? I did. That’s a swiss cheese defense if I’ve ever seen one. Even North Carolina A&T had some early fun at the Blue Devils’ expense last week, trailing by seven at half. Northwestern should win comfortably, or at worst by a field goal and enough to cover.

Minnesota at Colorado (-2.5). Ok, Buffs, I’m buying. That was a solid showing last week in Denver against Texas A&M in a game they easily could have (and probably should have) won. Minnesota isn’t itself since it lost Mohamed Ibrahim against Ohio State (it squeaked out a 31-26 win over the other Miami school last week). In Boulder, with both teams trending the way they are? Buffs win and cover.

Tennessee Tech at Tennessee; OVER 51. Honestly, the Vols should surpass this number by themselves. If they punt at all with their starters in, that’s just sad. Tenn Tech lost 52-14 at Samford and were shut out last week at home by Furman 26-0. If Tech scores, that’s just gravy to add to the point total.

Georgia Tech at Clemson (-28). The Jackets lost at home to Northern Illinois, one of the worst FBS teams. Clemson woke up last week, and the Jackets will pay the price this week. Clemson might have this covered by the half.