A 4-6 Week 11 dropped my overall mark for the year to 57-58-2. Below the Mendoza line.......ouch. Oklahoma State, Tennessee, and Boston College all got their doors blown clean in what were supposed to be close games. Out of nowhere results. This is a weird, weird sport sometimes. Oh well. No time like the present to make up for it.
And now, on with this week’s picks...
LOUISVILLE (+1) at Miami
Look, I’d like to pick Miami here, and I would if Emory Williams was at quarterback. However, Tyler Van Dyke is seeing ghosts and simply can’t lead this team right now. And that’s truly disappointing, as Louisville really is a beatable team despite their record (their showing at Pittsburgh is Exhibit A as to why I think that).
Boston College at PITTSBURGH (-2.5)
I have no idea what that steaming mess was that the Eagles put forth last week in a home blowout loss to Virginia Tech, but I’ll count on Pittsburgh being good enough to beat that group at home on Saturday.
Oklahoma at BYU (+24)
I see why Vegas set this line where they did, as BYU has been on the wrong side of some lopsided games, but Oklahoma just hasn’t been right lately. This is A LOT of points to lay on the road in this spot, so I’ll take the home team getting them.
MICHIGAN (-19) at Maryland
The Wolverines are a machine, and I’m going to keep on riding with them until they buck me.
DUKE (-3.5) at Virginia
Duke had Carolina beaten last weekend before letting them off the hook with a last second drive to force overtime. And they did it without Riley Leonard. They’re good enough to go into Charlottesville and win by at least a touchdown.
GEORGIA (-10.5) at Tennessee
Neyland Stadium will provide an electric setting, but at some point the Jimmy and Joes will matter, and Georgia just has the better and deeper roster by a significant margin. Georgia pulls away by the start of the fourth quarter.
Georgia vs. Tennessee; UNDER 59.5
I hate unders, but this is too many points. Georgia won’t completely explode offensively in Neyland, but Tennessee won’t do nearly enough to contribute to getting over this total against a very good Bulldogs defense.
Minnesota at OHIO STATE (-27.5)
The Buckeyes have gotten back on a bit of a roll lately and will decimate the Gophers at home on Saturday afternoon.
Oregon at Arizona State; OVER 55.5
Any game total with Oregon’s offense that’s in the mid-50s? Please. I’ll take the over far more often than not in that case, and against the Sun Devils is no exception.
Kentucky at SOUTH CAROLINA (+1)
This flies in the face of logic, as Kentucky has been the better team this year, but I feel like South Carolina kind of got its groove back the last two weeks against lesser competition. At night at Williams-Brice Stadium, I’ll take USCe to pull off the (slight) upset.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.